Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1930.360943 2107.573778 2288.822338 2487.781969 2699.762384 2918.581515 3161.249669
2024-10-20 1639.929791 1899.275951 2176.225481 2492.876983 2843.770491 3219.580537 3651.365066
2024-10-27 1397.443780 1694.969428 2023.475110 2410.831118 2852.751665 3338.887236 3911.699871
2024-11-03 1307.591489 1645.045631 2027.512698 2489.335193 3027.967624 3632.453393 4358.085233
2024-11-10 1219.352775 1585.657484 2010.689232 2534.811884 3158.007502 3869.570051 4737.414320
2024-11-17 1120.543273 1504.169704 1959.362740 2531.877715 3224.911958 4028.863514 5023.667212
2024-11-24 1022.392612 1415.440588 1891.982266 2502.742449 3254.658664 4139.922372 5250.094308
2024-12-01 962.262000 1369.404470 1872.562176 2528.165146 3347.193734 4323.821146 5562.626797
2024-12-08 897.188548 1312.260523 1834.996881 2527.187690 3404.275996 4462.999679 5820.642473
2024-12-15 860.215591 1289.086954 1838.255304 2575.745276 3521.758037 4675.719275 6169.287325
2024-12-22 799.458227 1230.175460 1791.737252 2557.347443 3552.338298 4779.582654 6383.576559
2024-12-29 774.777400 1218.661689 1806.054105 2616.826480 3681.726047 5006.988062 6752.683456
2025-01-05 730.800376 1178.695318 1781.487011 2625.165335 3746.484135 5155.888887 7028.536343
2025-01-12 688.862755 1139.272547 1755.702228 2630.361490 3806.383290 5298.865473 7298.512712
2025-01-19 619.537863 1056.098040 1665.704038 2544.847867 3743.102188 5281.030940 7361.643999
2025-01-26 610.252650 1060.786190 1698.068601 2626.669412 3903.256303 5553.346673 7799.252010
2025-02-02 590.805140 1048.921044 1705.989600 2674.056603 4017.113595 5766.153911 8161.969518
2025-02-09 557.480407 1013.905906 1678.940391 2670.999412 4061.472621 5887.386722 8406.230076
2025-02-16 518.664329 968.089368 1634.039949 2640.640761 4066.745324 5955.821426 8581.039097
2025-02-23 498.258226 950.264205 1629.420977 2667.131138 4150.239298 6128.728107 8894.566966
2025-03-02 471.825054 921.191748 1606.615649 2666.112679 4194.569159 6248.875023 9138.780922
2025-03-09 460.244208 915.837814 1619.249540 2716.702736 4311.747986 6468.325348 9517.192055
2025-03-16 432.098065 881.222084 1585.549031 2697.535897 4329.041937 6551.526364 9713.245691